Breeders Cup Preview: Grade 3

Grade 3 Breeders Cup Preview


Juveniles

Turf Marathon

This race features a full field of 15 from ten different stables.  The field appears to be a balanced group of two year olds, including a number of maidens that would love for their first trip to
Sussex Montjeu
the winners circle to be at the Breeders Cup.  Logans Run from Precious Stable looks to be the class of the field if you ignore the last two races.  She won those two qualifiers by 24 combined lengths and posted lifetime top speed ratings consecutively.  She has not gotten much of a layoff and picked up additional weight from a win just a week ago in a non championship race.  The sidley stud sends out a Sussex Montjeu, a son of Montjeu, who is another bright eyed competitor but got absolutely thumped in his last race.  It is unclear what happened here but expect him to rebound and be near at the finish.  As far as the maidens go, Crazee Syko posted a very nice work best of six that day over today's distance of  1 1/2m.  He has a real chance to hit the board here.


Turf Super Sprint

This sprint will be contested over 4 furlongs (800m) on what is expected to be a wet, yielding surface.  Precious stable's brings in two horses, each on a two win streak that will look to bring her home a Breeders Cup Trophy.  Chief No Sack and Coolmore are both geldings that have shown a knack for getting to the line first.  Chief No Sack appears to be the better of the two with nearly 5 times the earnings of his stablemate and comes in with back to back wins in qualifiers.  One horse that has caught the eye of many clockers is Thunder Road, a maiden from Micks Heroes who posted a wicked 52 3/5 work , best of seven on Apr 9.  This has yet to show the ability to bring that kind of speed to the track but would be right in contention if he could.  Given the trainers history of getting the best out of his horses I must mention Bob Baffert and his entry, Indian Outlaw who will look to build on the most recent race which was a win in a 4f qualifier.  He managed to keep his nose in front of Indian Outlaw for the entirety of the last race and a repeat might just be good enough to win.

Super Sprint

An overflow field is expected for this one and includes a star in the making with Bull Star from Double Star.  In a slightly unorthodox move the trainer entered the horse in a non championship race and picked up a win , adding an additional two pounds putting him at a high weight of 134 lbs for the final;  those two pounds could prove very costly in such a competitive race.  Ravensdale Rise sends out Raven Mitch, a consistent son of Afleet, who will look to win his first championship caliber race in this loaded field.  He has managed three wins, all of them outside of the championship division however.


3yr Old Division

Turf Classic

Anfield Road's Spankme looks to be the likely favorite coming off a victory at the exact distance and surface condition back on Apr. 7th.  He defeated Carry on Thin Boy in that effort but has finished behind Sussex Miller in every other race.  The distance appears to be a concern for Sussex Miller who appears better suited for the mile or mile and a eight distances.  

Sprint

This is another highly competitive race that will be determined by a thin margin.  It features horses that are familiar with each other and quality trainers across the board.  Unsung Hero
Unsung Hero
comes into this race on five race losing streak but was privately purchased after the last effort by Black Cat Racing and the barn change may do this horse some good.  Long Sermon comes in for Precious Stable with a two race win streak having beaten many of these two races back.  This filly by Pulpit seems to really enjoy the mud and with her deep closing style could sit a good trip here.    I like Unsung Hero in this spot, the problem is that he was defeated by Long Sermon at this exact distance and surface last time out.








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